It didn’t have to come to this. The warning signs were there. Maui Invitational: bad history. Nova: guaranteed loss. William and Mary: trap game. Hang a left, Maryland, HANG A LEFT! Can a Gary Williams coached team ever steer itself to safety? Can they ever find breathing room? Not in the aughts they can’t.
So here they are at 9-4, unmentioned in the rankings and barely televised so far this year. I mean, they’re not even on TV in Northern Virginia. I live 30 min from College Park and have to drive over the border to see a game. Entering Atlantic Coast Conference play in 2010, the Terps have dropped off the radar. But fear not Turtle fans. There is still hope that this team can turn it around. Damage has been done, but the season is still young. Here is a brief analysis of the schedule, and some trends to look for in Two Aught Ten.
Schedule - I’m not going to sugarcoat this, the schedule is tough. It’s really, really tough. The Testudo Times put up a post on how the national bracketology pollsters are already counting the Terps out. Luckily, the national pollsters are usually about as accurate as the Farmer’s Almanac is on whether or not we’ll get a big dose of Kentucky Windage next summer.
Let’s do the math. 20 regular season wins is usually the Big Dance requirement for victories for major conference teams, almost akin to how seven wins gets you a bowl game. Maryland has 9 wins to its credit. 20 – 9 = 11 wins to go.
The Terps have 17 games left in 2010. There are currently five ranked teams in the ACC – Duke #5, UNC #9, Georgia Tech #17, Florida State #19, and Clemson #21. Guess what? The Terps play three of those five teams twice! That’s 8 0f 17 remaining games against ranked opponents. Let’s assume that Maryland can win three of those games. They’ll steal one from Duke, and they should win the home games against Clemson and Georgia Tech. I’m assuming the Terps will lose both games against Florida State because they seem to have Maryland’s number. That would put the Terps at twelve wins with three wins against ranked teams, meaning they’d have to win the seven of the remaining eight games on the scheudle against the rest of the ACC and a late season breather against Longwood College. The result is that it’s possible for the Terps to get in, but there is NO margin for error.
There are some reasons for hope going forward.
Greivis has his groove back - Vasquez averages through the first eight games: 12.8 pts/gm, 4.1 rb/gm, 5.9 ast/gm, 4 TO/gm, 32% FG, 28% 3PT. Vasquez averages through the last five games: 24.6 pts/gm, 6.4 rb/gm, 6.6 ast/gm, 2 TO/gm, 55% FG, 41% 3PT. The most encouraging signs here are his increased shooting percentages, but the numbers are way up all around. As Greivis goes, so go the Terps. If he can continue this high level of play, then Maryland should be able to make a run at another 20-win season.
Exit Jin Soo Choi - Choi played in nine games in 2010. He averaged 5 min/gm, 0.8 pts/gm, 1.1 rb/gm, and .8 fouls/gm. That’s the equivalent of five minutes of playing four-on-five basketball every time he was on the court.
Enter Dino Gregory - One good game does not a trend make, but Dino Gregory seemed to have found his legs against UNC Greensboro in an 11 pt, 8 rb, 2 block performance. As a former big guy, I can tell you that sometimes it takes a game against an undersized team for you to get your confidence in the paint back. As Dino’s quality minutes rise, so will Maryland’s presence in the post.
The Best is Yet to Come from Sean Mosley - There is a lot of upside left for Sean Mosley in 2010. Astonishingly, Mosley is only taking eight shots per game so far this year even though he’s shooting over 60% from the field. Digest that for a second. Maryland has a two guard that is shooting 60%+ on the year, and he’s barely taking shots. Many Terps fans and pundits, including this blog, predicted that this would be the Year of Mosley. I believe it still will be.
Does Maryland face a tough task in returning to the NCAA Tournament this year? Of course. Is that news to anyone? Of course not. Rumors of their demise are greatly exaggerated. The Terps have been a bubble team from the beginning, and they will be until the end of the year. What else would you expect from a Gary Williams team in the aughts?




















