I was lucky enough to attend the game that locked up Maryland’s bid for the 2010 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. And what a game it was. Comcast was rocking for much of this come-from-behind 88-79 victory over recent nemesis Clemson. To the points:

  1. YEAH, CLEMSON! WHAT! WHAT! TAKE IT! EAT IT! ENJOY YOUR VIEW FROM THE BUBBLE! YOU JUST GOT SMOKED! HOW DOES IT FEEL BABY! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! TEEEEEEEEEERRRRRRRRRRRRRPPPPPPSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!
  2. Unlike the clug-ugly first game, this one was a barnburner, and Clemson was the team that came out firing. Both squads actually shot 50 percent from three in the first half. It’s just that Maryland shot six of them, while Clemson shot 16.
  3. As Maryland hadn’t beaten Clemson since 2007, it got pretty quiet when the Tigers took a 27-14 lead. But Maryland showed why it is such a good team — a really, seriously good team — right now: poise. Bucket. Stop. Draw a foul. Stop. Rinse, repeat. Beautiful.
  4. With 7:52 left and the Terps down by one, they made their run. Less than two minutes later, they were up 10.  During the run, Vasquez (who had two points until then) collected two steals, two dimes, and five points, including a breakaway dunk that had Comcast going berserk.  I was literally jumping up and down in the aisle.  I’ve been critical of Vasquez (and, I believe, with reason), but he has learned, he has grown, and he’s the best player in the ACC. As the man himself noted in a postgame interview, “my decision-making is just unbelievable right now.” Hear hear, sir.
  5. Having said that, my game MVP is Sean Mosley. He scored nine of the team’s first 12, keeping us afloat during Clemson’s fireball start. He ended up with 20 points on 6-8 shooting, four boards, two steals. He seemed determined to shoot his way out of his slump, and he did. Welcome back, Sean.
  6. Interesting to watch the seniors operate during stoppages. Lots of high fives, lots of back pats, lots of “come on, let’s go!”s. Vasquez gets a lot of ink for this, but Hayes does it, too.
  7. From the Every Rose Has Its Thorn Department: I’ve stated before that the full-court trap doesn’t work like it once did. I’d like to revise that statement. It works against Maryland. And it’s not like they didn’t know it was coming. If the Terps had lost, this would have been the headline.
  8. From the Every Rose Has Its Thorn Department, Item #2: Landon Milbourne and Dino Gregory looked a little lost out there. Physical bigs just aren’t a good matchup for them. Plenty of teeth-gnashing over this among the Maryland faithful. I feel for these guys. This must be why every cowboy sings a sad, sad song.
  9. Speaking of Dino, I noticed something:  there are a lot of moving parts, if you will, in his game. He’s always looking to create, to make a move, to, you know, dribble, and what not.  I liked it better when it was defense, box out, board, hustle.
  10. Before the game, I said David Potter was Clemson’s X Factor. And with 13 points, he sort of was. But to a greater extent, it was center Jerai Grant, who killed the Terps in Clemson but fouled out last night with zero points in only 10 minutes of action. Thanks, Jerai. When those long arms go a-flailing, everybody wins. Except you and your team.

There you have it. I think this unequivocally stamps Maryland’s dance card, but still plenty left to play for. Saturday’s game in Blacksburg has major ACC implications (don’t tell anyone, but Maryland can still win this thing…technically). Next Wednesday is Senior Night versus Duke. No explanation needed.

I’m starting to get excited. I really am.

(Photo credit: AP photo via The Baltimore Sun)

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Something happened down there in Clemson.  Something bad.  Something dark.  It wasn’t just an ordinary loss, apparently.  Perhaps the game was so ugly, so tedious, and the loss so crushing, that individual human psyches were shaken loose from their very moorings. 

Perhaps not.

But whatever it was, our second and third best players (or third and fourth, second and fourth, whatever) have not been the same since.  Eric Hayes and Sean Mosley are both riding some serious slumps ever since the Lashing at Littlejohn.

Let’s start with Mosley, who seems to be a bit more deeply mired.  In the last six games, starting with that Clemson loss, Mosley has averaged 4 points, 5 rebounds, and 2 assists. In the first 18 games of the season, he averaged 12 points, 6 rebounds, and 3 assists.  His defense, while strong throughout the season, has gotten spotty of late, almost as if he needs to get his butt kicked a few times before he wakes up and realizes he is playing basketball. It wasn’t long ago that Sean Mosley was considered a burgeoning star on the team. Can he get back there? Yes. Is he there right now? No he isn’t.

As for Eric Hayes, in the past six games starting with the Clemson loss, he’s averaged 9.5 points, 4 assists, and 2.5 turnovers.  In the first 18 games, he averaged 11 points, 3 assists, and 1 turnover.   Last night against N.C. State, he went scoreless on 0-5 shooting, although he did get 5 assists to just one turnover.  His three-point shot was a welcome addition to the Terps’ offensive arsenal early this season, but if you take out his 4-5 performance beyond the arc versus hapless North Carolina, he’s 4-17 during  this slump.  Not many defenses are going to respect that.

These slumps are especially noticeable given that Maryland’s bench is somewhat uneven.  When I’m not waiting for Cliff Tucker and Adrian Bowie to be genetically combined into one player, I find myself wishing, more and more each day, that Dino Gregory was still alive.   Players like Jordan Williams and, of course, Greivis Vasquez have stepped up, but it’s not like Hayes’ and Mosley’s contributions are effortlessly subsumed by other players on a consistent basis. 

So why is this happening?  After going back and watching some game film DVRs, nothing obvious emerges — at least not to a blogger with no coaching or scouting experience.  But I’ve noticed a few things. Mosley seems to get the yips sometimes, especially around the basket.  One too many ball fakes in the mix there as well, like he’s always worried about a shot blocker that doesn’t always exist.   Hayes has always had difficulty getting his own shot, and now that the word is out that he can consistently knock down the three, I think he’s drawing more defensive attention than he did earlier in the year. 

Of course, it’s always easier for someone like me to point out problems than for those actually involved to actually do something about it.  But they’re both good, smart players who know they will be needed down the stretch.  So here’s hoping they find a way to rid themselves of whatever followed them onto that bus back in South Carolina.

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If you told me beforehand that Maryland would be down by 10 at halftime and Eric Hayes would not score in the game, let’s just say I probably would have told you to watch Shaun White instead. But the Terps fought off fatigue and perhaps a bit of complacency to rally and overcome bottom-dwelling N.C. State, 67-58, in Raleigh. To the points:

  1. As many (including yours truly, yes, thanks so much) suspected, the Terps came out like a bowl of wet linguini. They took their lashes until Gary Williams tore the players a new corn chute early in the second half. Among the printable excerpts:  “I have difficulty believing you are down 12 to a team that I daresay, if I may be assured of your confidences, I do not hold in inordinately high esteem.” No one looked back from there.
  2. MVP: Take a guess. On a night when the team’s second, third, and fourth leading scorers combined for 12 points, Vasquez delivered with 26 and 6 assists. I know I’ve been critical — and concerns remain — but is there another ACC team with a player so critical to their fortunes? Could Jon Scheyer beat Vasquez one on one? I don’t think so either. I’m not one for hyperbole, but what can you say?  Vasquez for ACC player of the year.
  3. Mosley and Hayes need to deslumpify, and fast. More on them later. (UPDATE:  Or how about now? Woo, magic.)
  4. A win heals all wounds, but man, was that first half ugly. It’s like they were moving in syrup.  Defensively, they seemed to be rotating a full beat behind the Pack.  They tried to compensate with aggressive help, but left shooters open in the process. I’m just glad they never instituted that “we’re only gonna play one half now” rule.
  5. Vasquez was my MVP, but for a long stretch in the first half, Jordan Williams carried this team. He finished with 19 points (7-10 shooting) and 11 boards while holding now-you-see-him-now-you-don’t Tracy Smith to 10 and 6. But even that doesn’t tell the whole story. For a full quarter, Williams was Maryland’s go-to guy.
  6. Just when I’m ready to bury Adrian Bowie, he gets an arm out of the dirt. Still, he’s a bit shaky as a distributor. Is he really starting at point next season?
  7. I’m not a big fan of the press, but it worked to great effect last night. I guess it helps when the opposing point guard has nearly a 1:1 assist-to-turnover ratio.
  8. I’ve alluded to this already, but this has my vote for Gary Williams’ best coaching job of the year. He just didn’t let them give up.
  9. They better do some serious sleeping between now and Saturday. And I mean a looooooot of sleep. Georgia Tech’s not going to be easy, even at home.
  10. As this column astutely notes, Maryland will get to 10 ACC wins if they just keep beating the beatable teams. (Hey, that’s my column for Bleacher Report! What a happy accident.) In other words, the Terps can make the tourney without a “signature win,” which is good, because they currently have zero of those unless you count FSU.  Now in one word:  Phew!

(Photo credit: AP photo via The Baltimore Sun)

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bubble

It's like a looking glass, but more bubbly.

It didn’t have to come to this.  The warning signs were there.  Maui Invitational: bad history.  Nova: guaranteed loss.  William and Mary: trap game.  Hang a left, Maryland, HANG A LEFT!  Can a Gary Williams coached team ever steer itself to safety?  Can they ever find breathing room?  Not in the aughts they can’t.

So here they are at 9-4, unmentioned in the rankings and barely televised so far this year.  I mean, they’re not even on TV in Northern Virginia.  I live 30 min from College Park and have to drive over the border to see a game.  Entering Atlantic Coast Conference play in 2010, the Terps have dropped off the radar.  But fear not Turtle fans.  There is still hope that this team can turn it around.  Damage has been done, but the season is still young.  Here is a brief analysis of the schedule, and some trends to look for in Two Aught Ten.

Schedule - I’m not going to sugarcoat this, the schedule is tough.  It’s really, really tough.  The Testudo Times put up a post on how the national bracketology pollsters are already counting the Terps out.  Luckily, the national pollsters are usually about as accurate as the Farmer’s Almanac is on whether or not we’ll get a big dose of Kentucky Windage next summer.

Let’s do the math.  20 regular season wins is usually the Big Dance requirement for victories for major conference teams, almost akin to how seven wins gets you a bowl game.  Maryland has 9 wins to its credit.  20 – 9 = 11 wins to go.

The Terps have 17 games left in 2010.  There are currently five ranked teams in the ACC – Duke #5, UNC #9, Georgia Tech #17, Florida State #19, and Clemson #21.  Guess what?  The Terps play three of those five teams twice!  That’s 8 0f 17 remaining games against ranked opponents.  Let’s assume that Maryland can win three of those games.  They’ll steal one from Duke, and they should win the home games against Clemson and Georgia Tech.  I’m assuming the Terps will lose both games against Florida State because they seem to have Maryland’s number.  That would put the Terps at twelve wins with three wins against ranked teams, meaning they’d have to win the seven of the remaining eight games on the scheudle against the rest of the ACC and a late season breather against Longwood College.  The result is that it’s possible for the Terps to get in, but there is NO margin for error.

There are some reasons for hope going forward.

Greivis has his groove back - Vasquez averages through the first eight games: 12.8 pts/gm, 4.1 rb/gm, 5.9 ast/gm, 4 TO/gm, 32% FG, 28% 3PT.  Vasquez averages through the last five games: 24.6 pts/gm, 6.4 rb/gm, 6.6 ast/gm, 2 TO/gm, 55% FG, 41% 3PT.  The most encouraging signs here are his increased shooting percentages, but the numbers are way up all around.  As Greivis goes, so go the Terps.  If he can continue this high level of play, then Maryland should be able to make a run at another 20-win season.

Exit Jin Soo Choi - Choi played in nine games in 2010.  He averaged 5 min/gm, 0.8 pts/gm, 1.1 rb/gm, and .8 fouls/gm.  That’s the equivalent of five minutes of playing four-on-five basketball every time he was on the court.

Enter Dino Gregory - One good game does not a trend make, but Dino Gregory seemed to have found his legs against UNC Greensboro in an 11 pt, 8 rb, 2 block performance.  As a former big guy, I can tell you that sometimes it takes a game against an undersized team for you to get your confidence in the paint back.  As Dino’s quality minutes rise, so will Maryland’s presence in the post.

The Best is Yet to Come from Sean Mosley - There is a lot of upside left for Sean Mosley in 2010.  Astonishingly, Mosley is only taking eight shots per game so far this year even though he’s shooting over 60% from the field.  Digest that for a second.  Maryland has a two guard that is shooting 60%+ on the year, and he’s barely taking shots.  Many Terps fans and pundits, including this blog, predicted that this would be the Year of Mosley.  I believe it still will be.

Does Maryland face a tough task in returning to the NCAA Tournament this year?  Of course.  Is that news to anyone?  Of course not.   Rumors of their demise are greatly exaggerated.  The Terps have been a bubble team from the beginning, and they will be until the end of the year.  What else would you expect from a Gary Williams team in the aughts?

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Cartoon illustration of me during the last 10 sec of the 2nd half.

Cartoon illustration of me during the last 10 sec of the 2nd half.

The nail biting, heart palpitating days of mens’ basketball are back.  The Terps needed a desperation three by Greivis Vasquez to tie the game in its waning moments and get into overtime last night. In the overtime period, Maryland had all the momentum and finished off Vermont with an 89-74 victory.

The Terps had lost only five non-conference games in the Comcast Center since it opened in 2002, but they were dangerously close to losing their sixth against Groovy U-V. Vasquez had 26 pts and 9 rebounds, but his reckless ball handling also led to 5 turnovers.  When asked about his off-balance, game-tying prayer of a three point shot, Vasquez stated, “They’re either going to love me or they’re really going to hate me.” Say what you want about Vasquez, but he is self aware if nothing else.

The aforementioned key freshmen, Jin Soo Kim and Sean Mosley, practically disappeared against the Catamounts.  They combined for 15 min and 1 shot attempt last night.  I am going to keep banging the drum until they get more involved in Gary Williams’s offensive game-plan.  It was clear from last night’s performance that the Terps are at their best when they are pressing and getting buckets in transition.  In order to do that, they need to play their best nine guys consistently.  Last night we saw a basic seven man rotation.  That is not going to cut it against more athletic ACC opponents.

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In the first two mens’ basketball games of the season, two Maryland freshmen have received significant minutes.  6′8″ South Korean forward Jin Soo Kim has been playing 17 min/gm, while 6′4″ Sean Mosley has been getting 14.5 min/gm.  The two players have combined for 10 pts and 5.5 reb/gm, but those efforts were against cupcake opponents.

Tonight’s game against Vermont will be their first real test, and a real test of Gary Williams’s will.  When asked about who the starters would be before the Bucknell game, Williams said that it would be Vasquez, Hayes, Milbourne and “whoever practices the best [that week].”  Williams has been notoriously stingy with playing time for freshmen in the past.  Tonight will be the first opportunity for Kim and Mosley to prove their worth against a decent opponent, and they better make the most of it.

The Terps have had difficulty getting production from freshmen due to Williams’s approach to minutes.  The college game has changed a lot during Williams’s career, and in my opinion he’s been slow to adapt to the need for recruiting and playing freshmen in order to replace talented players that go pro (Wilcox), flunk out (McCray), or loose their minds (Gilchrist).  Williams’s comments and dedication to playing these two freshman in the first two games indicate that he might be willing to change his approach. In fact, the Terps are running a special on Comcast SportsNet called “The Proving Ground” before tonight’s game.

I hope Kim and Mosley show Gary that freshmen can contribute right away.  In today’s college basketball, there is no time for “rebuilding”.  Talented players generally don’t stay with the program for four years. Williams needs to start winning with the talent he has each year.

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